Archive for September, 2009

Week 3 Power Rankings

September 29, 2009

Calculated Power Rankings and Unit Strength following week 3 of the NFL season.  I use an engineering method of iteratively solving for best fit to the data (scores) to create the ranks and related applications that corrects for opponents played. (more…)

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Finding the Way to Win

September 24, 2009

Big Ben

This time of the season is one of angst, anger, joy, and fear. For those rolling over opponents with ease, all is well. For those losing and struggling, mentions of “the panic button” are commonplace. Fans take the magnifying glass to teams to identify the flaws, at this time of year the team with the fewest flaws becomes the favorite to win it all.

Not so fast however. If history teaches us anything, it is that champions are borne by struggling, overcoming adversity. Finding a way to win despite their flaws only makes teams stronger. Lets take a look at the recent past: (more…)

Week 2 Power Rankings

September 22, 2009

Calculated Power Rankings and Unit Strength following week 2 of the NFL season.  I use an engineering method of iteratively solving for best fit to the data (scores) to create the ranks and related applications that corrects for opponents played. (more…)

Slow First Gear

September 18, 2009

There is an old football saying that defenses start faster than offenses. Since Mike McCarthy has taken over as HC in 2006, that impression has held true every year, with 2009 being no different. The poor performance of the team, despite the win, has left many fans uneasy about the team. Lets take a look at how the team has performed week 1 and the yearly averages since McCarthy has taken over as head coach: (more…)

Maximizing Awesomeness

September 18, 2009

Aaron’s Shoryuken (from the old Street Fighter video game, Ryu and Ken’s move), performed after he threw the 50 yd TD to Jennings, sealing his first late 4th comeback win, against the Bears last Sunday.

Epic Win

Clearly he has figured out the secret for getting the high score and the how to beat the game.

Shoryuken

Rest assured, we definitely have the coolest QB playing today, he looks just like a kid out there, having fun.

Week 1 Power Rankings

September 15, 2009

Calculated Power Rankings following week 1 of the NFL season.  I use an engineering method of iteratively solving for best fit to the data (scores) to create the ranks and related applications that corrects for opponents played. (more…)

The Long Search for the Future

September 10, 2009

When a Quarterback is selected in the first round of the NFL draft, the team is heavily committing to the QB of the future. While Green Bay has a long and great history at the position, boasting 2 of the all time greats, the one place it has consistently failed is drafting the QB of the future. Time and time again Green Bay has tried, and come up empty handed, instead fielding QB’s acquired in trade, or later round picks that they got lucky on. A QB is always a hit or miss proposition, even in the first round, but GB’s long an history of failure is especially bad. It seems with Aaron Rodgers though, that Green Bay has found some success, time will tell if it was fleeting, or if greatness was found. A first round failure at QB can set a team back years. Unlike other positions, rarely does the team carry more than one good one, and virtually every first round attempt gets a chance to be the good one for a year or two. Having spent 6 first round picks one the position, including 3 in the top 10, Green Bay has come up remarkably empty handed over the years. (more…)

Preseason Power Rankings

September 8, 2009

Calculated Power Rankings from preseason of the 2009 NFL season.  I use an engineering method of iteratively solving for best fit to the data (scores) to create the ranks and related applications that corrects for opponents played. (more…)

Timeout

September 3, 2009

While we as Packer fans collectively bask in the glow of a preseason gone right, after the recent exclamation point in the desert, it is time to toss out the red flag and take a look. The commentary on the team has drastically changed, from expectations of struggling with our defensive transition and a revamped offensive line, to a powerhouse poised to make a run. Its good, the players believe, the fans believe. That is good energy. Rarely does a team go far that isn’t one of the 20 or so that believe that everything is in place this year to make a run.

I want to focus on the defensive transition. I have to do my due diligence. I am not a bottom line guy. The bottom line isn’t sustainable without the fundamentals. I have argued many times, though the bottom line said we were 6-10 last year, the metrics showed a much, much better team. So this comes as no surprise that we are doing well thus far. The bottom line is great this preseason. The starters have given up a total of only 10 points in about 4 quarters of play. Not bad. Is that bottom line sustainable? (more…)